Ravens Comments Heading Into Steelers Week

Your blogger apologizes for taking last week off, but I’ll grab for insights from the 49ers game if the Ravens wind up meeting them again.  Let’s focus instead on some Ravens comments coming out of the Dolphins shellacking and into the Steelers finale.

To Rest or Not to Rest, That is the Question

The “rust” concept doesn’t worry me.  Thirty-four of the last 64 number one seeds (going into this year) have made it to the Super Bowl.  The Ravens’ 2019 number one seed fiasco doesn’t mean a thing.  That was a different roster, a different quarterback (de facto), and a different offense.  They got behind early and lacked a complete passing attack.  Of course, all of that is just noise.  What should a prudent coach do with respect to an end-of-the-season meaningless game? Continue reading “Ravens Comments Heading Into Steelers Week”

Ravens Big Board Part 1 Supplement: More on Round One

Part 1 of my Ravens Big Board (found here) outlined where I think the Ravens should go if they draft a player at Pick 22.  Part 2 of the Ravens Big Board will set forth a round-by-round view of who I think the Ravens could/should target.  But a couple of other thoughts came to mind that I decided to put out in this Big Board Part 1 Supplement

More On Round One – The Quarterbacks and Lamar Jackson

What will happen with the quarterbacks in round one of the draft?  I’d be shocked if Bryce Young is not the first pick.  He’s simply the best quarterback in this class at this point.  Do the Texans draft a quarterback at pick 2?  Then what?

There’s no point in speculating about trades for quarterback prospects.  That conversation is just a merry-go-round of confusion.  But there are two similar questions to consider.  First, after the Titans have selected at pick 11, and assuming the Texans did not draft a quarterback at pick 2, are either Anthony Richardson or C.J. Stroud still available? Continue reading “Ravens Big Board Part 1 Supplement: More on Round One”

Should the Ravens Trade Lamar Jackson?

Should (or must) the Ravens trade Lamar Jackson?  Teams have almost universally rejected Jackson as a free agent.  Many observers attribute this shunning to Lamar’s alleged fully guaranteed contract demand.  But is it more than that?  Yes.  I’ve written numerous times regarding Lamar’s flaws as a pocket passer.  He’s challenged reading defenses.  Just getting to the line of scrimmage in a consistently timely manner has been difficult.  His work habits are less than admirable.  Then there’s the injuries and the obvious issue of how long he can retain his running skills.  Add it all up and he’s nowhere near the “clean” quarterback that teams drool over.  Combined with his contract demands, Lamar makes a poor case for a team to pay him a fortune and give up a lot of draft capital to do it. Continue reading “Should the Ravens Trade Lamar Jackson?”

The Ravens Non-Exclusive Tender to Lamar – Now What?

The non-exclusive tender to Lamar was perhaps a surprise to outsiders.  But it tells us a great deal about Lamar’s likely future and how the Ravens have gauged that future.  No doubt the Ravens had a very good sense that other owners have little taste for fully guaranteed contracts.  There might be a legal issue brewing here (collusion is a tough case to make).  But if Lamar has been unwilling to come off of his fully guaranteed negotiating position (which he must be at this point), there’s no better way for him to learn the illusion of such a contract then by talking to other teams.  Which he is now free to do. Continue reading “The Ravens Non-Exclusive Tender to Lamar – Now What?”

The Ravens Lamar Salary Cap Quandary

I was originally intending this post as the “pro” case for keeping Lamar.  But I’m changing things around a bit.  It’s more pertinent to take a look at the basic question.  From a salary cap perspective, can the Ravens afford to keep Lamar Jackson as a franchised player in 2023?  Here, the Ravens really are in a salary cap quandary. Continue reading “The Ravens Lamar Salary Cap Quandary”

The Ravens’ Lamar Decision – Part 1, The Framework

This is the first piece addressing the Ravens’ Lamar decision.  You can review some prior thoughts here.  Below I outline the major considerations from the Ravens’ perspective that should govern their decision.  Here’s how I would approach the Ravens Lamar decision.

The process starts with defining the overarching goal.  A long-term and substantial financial commitment should be made only to a quarterback who has a reasonable probability of leading a team to the Super Bowl.  How many current quarterbacks in the NFL meet this requirement? Continue reading “The Ravens’ Lamar Decision – Part 1, The Framework”

Ravens Before the Steelers Game: More on Lamar Jackson

This is a warm-up for a longer Lamar Jackson analysis that follows when the season ends.  Today I offer a few comments on two inter-related Lamar considerations.  First, his on-the-field strategic utilization.  Second, his progress, and any additional upside potential, within the confines of Greg Roman’s “Lamar” offense.  So let’s look at more on Lamar Jackson.

More on Lamar: The 2022 Handicaps

Let’s start with a brief review of how Lamar has been utilized this year.  I caveat this discussion by noting that we really haven’t known Lamar’s physical status all season, current injury aside.  To me, Lamar has not looked physically right since early in the year.  He doesn’t look as quick, as evidenced by his reduced escapability on broken plays, and on occasions when he has been unable to turn the corner.  The degree to which his condition has adversely impacted his on-field use is impossible to gauge. Continue reading “Ravens Before the Steelers Game: More on Lamar Jackson”

Ravens Post-Jaguars Loss – The Key Takeaways

My positive comments this week, post-Jaguars, are limited.  The key takeaways from this game are negative – critically so.  But let me start with the few positives.

Key Takeaways: Three Positives

As others have noted, Josh Oliver has been a wonderfully pleasant surprise.  In fact, the Ravens are not utilizing Oliver enough.  He’s not just the newer version of Nick Boyle.  Oliver is much more athletic, and can do things with the ball in his hands that the other tight ends on the roster can’t.  By this I mean his combination of speed and power are impressive.  He’s a load who can accelerate.  Get him a few more touches going forward. Continue reading “Ravens Post-Jaguars Loss – The Key Takeaways”

Ravens Update: The Good and Bad from the Panthers Game

There were several interesting developments coming out of the Panthers game that deserve mention in this Ravens update.  Let’s start with the obvious good.

Ravens Update: The Good, Number One – Patrick Queen

Talk about someone benefitting from the Roquan Smith trade.  The lightbulb has magically gone on for Queen, who showed a decisiveness in attack that has been missing for much of his career.  You can tell if Queen is getting it – or not – by watching his tackling angles and target zones.  I’ve mentioned too many times that Queen comes in too hot too often – with the result that his hips overrun the play, his strike zone winds up above the chest, and he reaches with his arms to contact the ball carrier.  This past week Queen seemed to better trust what he saw.  He attacked with certainty and without the need to fire the after burners on every strike.  This was especially notable coming towards the line of scrimmage.

But I must give Queen even more credit.  His positioning on several downfield coverages was perfect.  He dropped receivers immediately with no YAC.  I only noticed one or two run plays where he “guessed,” but with the luxury of his new mate cleaning up behind him.

I’m not a believer, at all, in Pro Football Focus’ (PFF) rankings for too many reasons to recount here.  PFF is not going to convince me that Patrick Queen is suddenly the second coming.  But an honest account of Queen’s effort against Carolina must acknowledge good (if not great) play and improvement.  Now, can he follow it up?

Ravens Update: The Good, Number Two – Roquan Smith

Smith’s great positive impact, expected as it was, has proven out.  I must repeat – with Smith, this Ravens defense (if it gets and stays healthy) is what can take them to the Super Bowl.  They are not at that level yet.  But the arc is up and to the right and Smith is the essential ingredient in this ascendency.  He’s been brilliant, and there’s not much more to say.

Ravens Update: The Good, Number Three – Kyle Hamilton

A great coach adapts his approach to the skills of the players on his squad.  Ravens’ fans should appreciate what Mike Macdonald is doing with Hamilton.   It’s working to great effect.  Hamilton lined up in the slot and generally tight to the line of scrimmage has tapped brilliantly into Hamilton’s best qualities.  Before the Smith acquisition, Macdonald often deployed Hamilton further back in space, functionally in the linebacker slot on many occasions.  This forced Hamilton to process across the entire field.  His new slotting allows him to narrowly focus his attention and play more instinctively.  We are seeing the benefits. Ravens Update

My reservations regarding Hamilton’s ultimate use remain.  I don’t think we will see those concerns addressed this season – there’s no need, absent injuries.  Macdonald now has Hamilton positioned exactly right.  Let’s hope he can get back on the field soon.

Ravens Update: The Bad, Number One – Odafe Oweh

Man has Oweh disappeared.  I mean, completely disappeared.  Oweh hardly played against the Panthers.  He saw the field on only 40% of the defensive snaps.  When he played, he was invisible.  And this from a man who through week five saw 85% of the playing time.  So, what’s going on with a player the pundits thought was so dominant in training camp he could compete for defensive player of the year?

The lack of development is disheartening.  Where do I start?  For one, Oweh lacks punch.  He’s unable to disengage.  His hand usage is poor.  Oweh plays high, lacking strength below the hips.  His drive is disappointing.  His change of direction – I don’t think he has one so far.  These are an awful lot of deficiencies for a player with Oweh’s athletic potential.  Is he thinking too much?  Perhaps, one could argue, he’s going through the mental growth process that has taken Patrick Queen over three seasons.  They both came into the league young and raw, after all.

But to his credit, Queen frequently highlighted his physical skills.  He attacked when he could.  He showed burst and speed, though often misfiring when he did so.  With Oweh, we aren’t seeing him use his physical gifts.  His play through game ten is extraordinarily disappointing.  Is it a coaching problem?  Can Oweh properly incorporate attack concepts into his game play?  Is he simply unable to develop the techniques needed to become an effective and then dominant player?

I can’t answer these questions.  But Mike Macdonald’s patience is growing much thinner.  We’ll see if Oweh’s playing time diminishes even more once David Ojabo is available.

Ravens Update: The Bad, Number Two – Lamar Jackson

Jackson’s poor play has become a trend.  We see the same mistakes week after week.  Not getting to the line of scrimmage quickly enough.  Preventing himself from processing the defense.  Poor and inconsistent arm positioning.  An inability to hit receivers in stride.  Not giving open downfield receivers even a summer snowball’s chance to catch a ball.  Overall poor decision-making.

And Jackson is noticeably running the ball less this year.  He’s down from slightly over 11 carries per game to approximately 9.7, a number that doesn’t fully tell the story.  We can all see that Jackson is not as electric as a runner this year, for reasons that none of us can fully explain.  Is he hurting?  Is it the contract situation?  Jackson’s RPO reads have not been as successful.

All of which leads me to . . .

Ravens Update: The Big Bad – Greg Roman

I come to praise Roman, not to bury him!  Let’s take a step back here and look at the Ravens’ offense and personnel from above.  Ask yourself what’s missing from the general plan of attack?  Now I don’t mean the obvious, i.e., the Ravens don’t have a true number one receiver, blah, blah, blah.

More generally, I look at the big picture and see a player, Lamar Jackson, who is arguably the most elusive runner in the league.  A guy who can shimmy and change direction better than anyone.  And because of that, defenses generally do two things against him.  For one, eight or nine players often line up in front of Jackson, leaning forward to attack him at the snap.  Second, Jackson sees tons of zone coverages because defenses are reluctant to play man where their personnel have their backs to Jackson.  Let me focus on the first point.

What do you do when defenders, pre-snap, are geared to move in one direction, i.e., forward?  You deploy misdirection and disguise in your attack, and you do it often.  Last week against the Panthers it took Roman half the game to figure this out.  And when he did, he used the simple draw play five times to great success on each attempt.  It’s what allowed the Ravens to move the ball in the second half.

But there’s so much more to do here.  Roman should be calling a variety of plays with Jackson using hard fakes and disguises.  Think back two weeks ago when Jackson rolled right out of a run formation drawing defenders up to him.  He then found Isaiah Likely running free behind the defense for an easy touchdown.  This type of play should not be a “once out of the vault” surprise.  Rather, it should be enough of a staple of the attack that defenses must play more honest and balanced.  Because if you do that, defenses won’t be leaning forward on most snaps.  Big advantage Ravens and Lamar Jackson.

Here’s a simple concept.  Jackson spends approximately 90% of his time either in shotgun and/or pistol formation.  Does anyone doubt that post-snap, if Lamar took half a step or one step forward defenses would read that as a running play?  Edge rushers will freeze, inside backers will attack, and possibly safeties too.  Now, have Lamar take that step and then pull back for almost any type of pass attempt (well, except in the soft flat).  And then run variations off that.  Or run a fake pitch to his tailback with a quick dart to a slanting receiver from the other side.  The possibilities are endless because defenses are primed to succumb to misdirection.

C’mon Roman, let’s get going here.  There’s so much more to do with Lamar Jackson, what are we waiting for?