The Ravens Can Beat The Bengals. . . If the Defense is Up to It

This is not a pollyannish pie-in-the-sky prediction that the Ravens can win their playoff matchup without Lamar Jackson.  The odds of their offense putting up three touchdowns – without some short fields – are very low.  My hope comes from watching the tape of last week’s Bengals matchup, and the extraordinary play of Roquan Smith.  The Ravens can beat the Bengals.  Let me explain. Continue reading “The Ravens Can Beat The Bengals. . . If the Defense is Up to It”

Trouble in Ravens’ Land

There’s a world of trouble in Ravens land.  Let’s face it.  The prospects for the 2022 Ravens have diminished to such a degree that it’s almost impossible to foresee a happy ending.  And I don’t mean winning a Super Bowl championship.  It’s hard to see how this group – such as it is – can win another game.  I don’t think this dire forecast is a bridge too far.

There are so many problems heading into the season finale that it’s almost hard to pick a starting point.  But pick I must so I’ll go with the obvious starting point. Continue reading “Trouble in Ravens’ Land”

Ravens Thoughts Going into the Steelers Game

The Ravens are in the playoffs.  These last two regular season games are all about seeding.  If I had my druthers, the Ravens best slot is probably fifth as the top wild card team.  That’s right, not third as the AFC North division winner.  I’d rather play the AFC South winner in round one (Jacksonville, or a decimated Tennessee) – even on the road – then play home against either the Chargers or the Dolphins.  And if I win those games, I think the Ravens are better suited to play the Bills then either the Chiefs or the Bengals, given the issues with the Ravens corners.  But it’s not up to me, after all.

Now, for some idle observations heading into the second Steelers game. Continue reading “Ravens Thoughts Going into the Steelers Game”

Ravens: A Few Idle Thoughts Before the Browns Game

Just a few quick idle thoughts this week.

First, let’s not kid ourselves about the Steelers game.  Mitch Trubisky had his way against the Ravens’ secondary.  But true to his form, he forced several throws that led to the interceptions.  It was a poor effort by the Ravens’ corners.  If George Pickens had his way with Marlon Humphrey, what will the Bengals game look like when the Ravens try to defend Chase, Higgins, and Boyd?

But for Calais Campbell’s field goal block, the Ravens likely lose the Steelers’ game. Continue reading “Ravens: A Few Idle Thoughts Before the Browns Game”

Ravens Before the Steelers Game: More on Lamar Jackson

This is a warm-up for a longer Lamar Jackson analysis that follows when the season ends.  Today I offer a few comments on two inter-related Lamar considerations.  First, his on-the-field strategic utilization.  Second, his progress, and any additional upside potential, within the confines of Greg Roman’s “Lamar” offense.  So let’s look at more on Lamar Jackson.

More on Lamar: The 2022 Handicaps

Let’s start with a brief review of how Lamar has been utilized this year.  I caveat this discussion by noting that we really haven’t known Lamar’s physical status all season, current injury aside.  To me, Lamar has not looked physically right since early in the year.  He doesn’t look as quick, as evidenced by his reduced escapability on broken plays, and on occasions when he has been unable to turn the corner.  The degree to which his condition has adversely impacted his on-field use is impossible to gauge. Continue reading “Ravens Before the Steelers Game: More on Lamar Jackson”

Ravens Post-Jaguars Loss – The Key Takeaways

My positive comments this week, post-Jaguars, are limited.  The key takeaways from this game are negative – critically so.  But let me start with the few positives.

Key Takeaways: Three Positives

As others have noted, Josh Oliver has been a wonderfully pleasant surprise.  In fact, the Ravens are not utilizing Oliver enough.  He’s not just the newer version of Nick Boyle.  Oliver is much more athletic, and can do things with the ball in his hands that the other tight ends on the roster can’t.  By this I mean his combination of speed and power are impressive.  He’s a load who can accelerate.  Get him a few more touches going forward. Continue reading “Ravens Post-Jaguars Loss – The Key Takeaways”

Ravens Update: The Good and Bad from the Panthers Game

There were several interesting developments coming out of the Panthers game that deserve mention in this Ravens update.  Let’s start with the obvious good.

Ravens Update: The Good, Number One – Patrick Queen

Talk about someone benefitting from the Roquan Smith trade.  The lightbulb has magically gone on for Queen, who showed a decisiveness in attack that has been missing for much of his career.  You can tell if Queen is getting it – or not – by watching his tackling angles and target zones.  I’ve mentioned too many times that Queen comes in too hot too often – with the result that his hips overrun the play, his strike zone winds up above the chest, and he reaches with his arms to contact the ball carrier.  This past week Queen seemed to better trust what he saw.  He attacked with certainty and without the need to fire the after burners on every strike.  This was especially notable coming towards the line of scrimmage.

But I must give Queen even more credit.  His positioning on several downfield coverages was perfect.  He dropped receivers immediately with no YAC.  I only noticed one or two run plays where he “guessed,” but with the luxury of his new mate cleaning up behind him.

I’m not a believer, at all, in Pro Football Focus’ (PFF) rankings for too many reasons to recount here.  PFF is not going to convince me that Patrick Queen is suddenly the second coming.  But an honest account of Queen’s effort against Carolina must acknowledge good (if not great) play and improvement.  Now, can he follow it up?

Ravens Update: The Good, Number Two – Roquan Smith

Smith’s great positive impact, expected as it was, has proven out.  I must repeat – with Smith, this Ravens defense (if it gets and stays healthy) is what can take them to the Super Bowl.  They are not at that level yet.  But the arc is up and to the right and Smith is the essential ingredient in this ascendency.  He’s been brilliant, and there’s not much more to say.

Ravens Update: The Good, Number Three – Kyle Hamilton

A great coach adapts his approach to the skills of the players on his squad.  Ravens’ fans should appreciate what Mike Macdonald is doing with Hamilton.   It’s working to great effect.  Hamilton lined up in the slot and generally tight to the line of scrimmage has tapped brilliantly into Hamilton’s best qualities.  Before the Smith acquisition, Macdonald often deployed Hamilton further back in space, functionally in the linebacker slot on many occasions.  This forced Hamilton to process across the entire field.  His new slotting allows him to narrowly focus his attention and play more instinctively.  We are seeing the benefits. Ravens Update

My reservations regarding Hamilton’s ultimate use remain.  I don’t think we will see those concerns addressed this season – there’s no need, absent injuries.  Macdonald now has Hamilton positioned exactly right.  Let’s hope he can get back on the field soon.

Ravens Update: The Bad, Number One – Odafe Oweh

Man has Oweh disappeared.  I mean, completely disappeared.  Oweh hardly played against the Panthers.  He saw the field on only 40% of the defensive snaps.  When he played, he was invisible.  And this from a man who through week five saw 85% of the playing time.  So, what’s going on with a player the pundits thought was so dominant in training camp he could compete for defensive player of the year?

The lack of development is disheartening.  Where do I start?  For one, Oweh lacks punch.  He’s unable to disengage.  His hand usage is poor.  Oweh plays high, lacking strength below the hips.  His drive is disappointing.  His change of direction – I don’t think he has one so far.  These are an awful lot of deficiencies for a player with Oweh’s athletic potential.  Is he thinking too much?  Perhaps, one could argue, he’s going through the mental growth process that has taken Patrick Queen over three seasons.  They both came into the league young and raw, after all.

But to his credit, Queen frequently highlighted his physical skills.  He attacked when he could.  He showed burst and speed, though often misfiring when he did so.  With Oweh, we aren’t seeing him use his physical gifts.  His play through game ten is extraordinarily disappointing.  Is it a coaching problem?  Can Oweh properly incorporate attack concepts into his game play?  Is he simply unable to develop the techniques needed to become an effective and then dominant player?

I can’t answer these questions.  But Mike Macdonald’s patience is growing much thinner.  We’ll see if Oweh’s playing time diminishes even more once David Ojabo is available.

Ravens Update: The Bad, Number Two – Lamar Jackson

Jackson’s poor play has become a trend.  We see the same mistakes week after week.  Not getting to the line of scrimmage quickly enough.  Preventing himself from processing the defense.  Poor and inconsistent arm positioning.  An inability to hit receivers in stride.  Not giving open downfield receivers even a summer snowball’s chance to catch a ball.  Overall poor decision-making.

And Jackson is noticeably running the ball less this year.  He’s down from slightly over 11 carries per game to approximately 9.7, a number that doesn’t fully tell the story.  We can all see that Jackson is not as electric as a runner this year, for reasons that none of us can fully explain.  Is he hurting?  Is it the contract situation?  Jackson’s RPO reads have not been as successful.

All of which leads me to . . .

Ravens Update: The Big Bad – Greg Roman

I come to praise Roman, not to bury him!  Let’s take a step back here and look at the Ravens’ offense and personnel from above.  Ask yourself what’s missing from the general plan of attack?  Now I don’t mean the obvious, i.e., the Ravens don’t have a true number one receiver, blah, blah, blah.

More generally, I look at the big picture and see a player, Lamar Jackson, who is arguably the most elusive runner in the league.  A guy who can shimmy and change direction better than anyone.  And because of that, defenses generally do two things against him.  For one, eight or nine players often line up in front of Jackson, leaning forward to attack him at the snap.  Second, Jackson sees tons of zone coverages because defenses are reluctant to play man where their personnel have their backs to Jackson.  Let me focus on the first point.

What do you do when defenders, pre-snap, are geared to move in one direction, i.e., forward?  You deploy misdirection and disguise in your attack, and you do it often.  Last week against the Panthers it took Roman half the game to figure this out.  And when he did, he used the simple draw play five times to great success on each attempt.  It’s what allowed the Ravens to move the ball in the second half.

But there’s so much more to do here.  Roman should be calling a variety of plays with Jackson using hard fakes and disguises.  Think back two weeks ago when Jackson rolled right out of a run formation drawing defenders up to him.  He then found Isaiah Likely running free behind the defense for an easy touchdown.  This type of play should not be a “once out of the vault” surprise.  Rather, it should be enough of a staple of the attack that defenses must play more honest and balanced.  Because if you do that, defenses won’t be leaning forward on most snaps.  Big advantage Ravens and Lamar Jackson.

Here’s a simple concept.  Jackson spends approximately 90% of his time either in shotgun and/or pistol formation.  Does anyone doubt that post-snap, if Lamar took half a step or one step forward defenses would read that as a running play?  Edge rushers will freeze, inside backers will attack, and possibly safeties too.  Now, have Lamar take that step and then pull back for almost any type of pass attempt (well, except in the soft flat).  And then run variations off that.  Or run a fake pitch to his tailback with a quick dart to a slanting receiver from the other side.  The possibilities are endless because defenses are primed to succumb to misdirection.

C’mon Roman, let’s get going here.  There’s so much more to do with Lamar Jackson, what are we waiting for?

Here Come the Ravens – It’s All About the Defense

Here come the Ravens.  The new Roquan Smith Ravens defense was spectacular in the Saints game.  Mike Macdonald is remolding this group in-flight.  His defense has a clear flight path to dominance.  There was an awful lot to like about Macdonald’s game plan.  And if this is a precursor the upside to this defense is much higher than it was two weeks ago. Continue reading “Here Come the Ravens – It’s All About the Defense”

Roquan Smith, Wow!  The Perfect Move by the Ravens

I’ve been critical of Eric DeCosta on several occasions, most recently for the imbalance in this year’s roster.  But this time I’m giving him a big bow.  Don’t kid yourself that the Ravens’ top need was wide receiver because it wasn’t.  I’ve moaned the entire season that the inside linebackers stunk.  Teams were shredding the Ravens in the middle of the field, both running and passing.  There was no way that the Ravens defense could be counted upon to take them to the Super Bowl.  But now the potential is there.  The Roquan Smith trade is the perfect move by the Ravens. Continue reading “Roquan Smith, Wow!  The Perfect Move by the Ravens”