Sports decision-making. Once dominated by coaching judgments, but now increasingly the captive of mathematicians. Teams of self-styled math gurus scrub data of every conceivable sort searching for heretofore obscured “insights”. Subjective decision-making replaced by rules-based decision making. The goal of analytics? Extract insights from prior events to guide future decisions and increase the probability of desired future outcomes. A tool that, where “insights” are generated, is assumed will enhance outcome-probabilities. Mathematical analysis will improve outcomes. But is this assumption in sports, particularly football, correct? How useful are football analytics? Continue reading “Football Analytics – Way Over-Hyped”